Re: Quora: Should gun owners limit hobby to save a child's l
Posted: Mon Nov 26, 2018 7:26 am
Look at it this way.
There are an estimated—ESTIMATED—500M firearms currently in circulation in the U.S., and around 150M are in criminal hands—at least. Since any home invader, car jacker, mugger, etc., could reasonably assume he/she would be facing the possibility of armed resistance, the chance that they would be armed as well is very high.
There are now more guns than people in the United States
The police are called “first responders” for a reason. They respond to crimes, they rarely are in a position to prevent them. They show up in the aftermath to clean up the scene. The average response time to truly emergency calls is 9 minutes in most metropolitan areas. Imagine the chaos that can happen in nine minutes, and that’s an average response time. Given the volume of calls, the location of the crime, and distance the from the scene of the nearest officer, possible confusion over the location, a crime happening in a rural location, etc., the true response time could be considerably longer. Even under the best of circumstances, “when seconds count, the police are only minutes away”.
In New Orleans, call 911 and wait for an hour
Furthermore, when police arrive, they have no idea of the true circumstances, who the shooter is vs the victim, and have to assess the situation before they can take action—possibly more minutes lost. That’s true whether it’s a private home, a school, a bank or a mugging.
Just as an example, in the Fort Hood shooting, Maj. Nidal Hasan opened fire on a crowded waiting room. The 911 call went out almost immediately, two traffic cops nearby responded and were on scene in SEVEN minutes. In that amount of time, Hasan killed 13 people and wounded 30 others including one of the responding officers. He emptied six 15 round magazines from a semi-automatic handgun, partially emptied a seventh before being brought down, and had three others in reserve. The two responding officers were at the scene minutes ahead of MP’s and SWAT, but were unable to prevent 43 people from being shot—in seven minutes.
2009 Fort Hood shooting - Wikipedia
Certainly that’s a unique situation—packed victims, shooter seeking a high body count and deliberately targeting victims at random—but it illustrates how rapidly confrontation can turn into chaos.
It’s been estimated—again, firm numbers are really not possible to track—that private citizens use their weapons in self defense around 2.5M times annually. That’s doesn’t mean they discharge their weapons, only that they use them to deter possible assault. In doing so, they kill twice as many criminals as police. Here’s that link.
How often are guns used to stop crimes?
There are several pages of links on each of the points I’ve outlined above, and numbers may vary depending on the link, but the numbers quoted are reasonably accurate.
Banning certain types of firearms is not an answer. “Long guns” like shotguns and rifles are not popular with criminals—they’re comparatively expensive and difficult to conceal—and, depending on the source, account for around 2% to 6% of all firearm homicides annually—the vast majority of firearm homicides involve handguns, and 80% of those in the hands of criminal are obtained illegally—stolen, bought using fraudulent information, or bought on the street.
Homicide Data by Weapon - Marginal REVOLUTION
Note that the higher number quotes ALL firearm deaths that aren’t by accident or suicide and includes criminals killed by victims defending themselves. The incidence of deliberate murders using long guns is much closer to the lower number IMO.
Banning firearms outright is not an answer, either—it would require passing an amendment to nullify the Second which would ultimately require ratification by at least 38 states—not going to happen, period. Trying to ban or confiscate all guns would face massive pushback, create a huge constitutional crisis and make instant felons of the estimated 150M gun owners who would resist such moves. Plus, if it was successful, it would succeed only in disarming law abiding gun owners—criminals don’t respect or follow firearm laws. That would leave an unarmed citizenry vulnerable to a heavily armed criminal element—imagine the consequences. Here’s a link you might find interesting:
Case Study: Morton Grove, Illinois v. Kennesaw, Georgia
It’s only one example, surely, and a microcosm of the national picture, but worth noting.
Keep in mind also that, despite the current attention being given to firearm incidents in this country, since the early ‘90’s there has been a steady decrease in all crimes of violence including murders and assaults using firearms. Here’s that link:
https://www.bjs.gov/content/pub/...
Whatever your thoughts about our “gun culture”, the reality is not going to change any time soon if ever, so we need to deal with it as it is. Realistic gun regulations are fine, but, again, criminals don’t respect gun laws, and what is “reasonable” to one person might be seen by another as trampling on our constitutional rights.
In 1994, our population was 263M, today it’s 323M, an increase of 70M people or about a 26% growth. The private ownership of firearms has more or less paralleled the growth in population. Just as one example, in 1994 the number of semi-automatic AR-15 type rifles in private hands was estimated as 1.5M—today estimates place that number from 3.5M to as high as 15M depending on the source.
If firearms in private hands contributed to gun violence, you’d expect the numbers to be considerably higher—instead there’s been a dramatic decrease.
Addendum:
Actually, the 2.5M number of DGUs (defensive gun use) figure has been challenged, and the actual figure is alleged to be closer to 67,740/year. The actual number is debatable, as are all figures regarding the number and uses of firearms in the U.S. Absolute accurate numbers are simply impossible to compile. However, even if we accept the 67,740 figure, that’s still 5,645 incidents a month or 188 a day.
Gun and self-defense statistics that might surprise you -- and the NRA